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Liquefied Natural Gas (LNG) Production, Prices and Market Performance

For the review period July to August 2009, total production of LNG averaged 59,850,350 MMbtu, increasing over the review period by 13%. Train’s I production was relatively stable, while fluctuations at the other plants were due to operational issues experienced.

For the period April to June 2009, Trinidad and Tobago exported 115,827,937 MMBtu of LNG. Of this total, the major exports were sold to the USA, which imported 38%, and the European market (UK, France, and Spain), which imported 35%. During the current quarter, LNG continues to export to Argentina, representative of the continued expansion of Trinidad and Tobago’s LNG markets.

Table II (a) shows LNG production for the period under review, and compares the year-to-date average of LNG for the period October 2008 to August 2009. Table II (b) highlights the five-year average LNG production schedule. The chart below shows LNG exports of Trinidad and Tobago for the period under review.

Despite the continued global economic crisis, prices reflect a continuing upward trend following the lowest Henry Hub price in May, 2009 of US$3.33/MMBtu. For the period July to August 2009, Henry Hub prices average US$3.67/MMBtu. Henry Hub prices for the review period are shown in the table below.

Table I

Henry Hub Prices (Train I, Train II, Train III and Train IV)
July - August 2009
US$ /MMBtu
July August Average Price
July - August
$3.96 $3.37 $3.67

 

TABLE II (a): Liquefied Natural Gas Monthly Production Budget Year 2008/2009 MMBtu*

 

Production

 

July

 

August

Year to Date Average
Oct 2008-
Aug 2009

2008/2009
Budgeted Forecasted Production

Total

55,752,670

63,948,029

66,113,644

75,700,000

Train 1

13,847,994

13,694,262

14,085,417

16,000,000

Train 2

12,663,880

15,722,493

17,544,274

18,000,000

Train 3

15,839,848

13,317,621

15,307,030

17,200,000

Train 4

13,400,948

21,213,654

19,176,922

24,500,000

Table II (b): Five Year Average Liquefied Natural Gas Production Schedule(MMBtu)*

  Oct 2004- Sept 2005 Oct 2005-
Sept 2006
Oct 2006-
Sept 2007
Oct 2007-
Sept 2008
Oct 2008-
Aug 2009
 Production 43,853,111 52,801,985 58,452,937 65,897,019 66,113,644
 Train 1 13,649,062 145,647,156 14,142,763 14,964,255 14,085,417
 Train 2 15,134,660 14,406,925 15,285,831 15,906,734 17,544,274
 Train 3 15,069,389 15,372,395 14,179,152 14,943,033 15,307,030
 Train 4 0.00 12,563,262 14,845,191 20,082,997 19,176,922

Train 1 began operations in 1999
Train 2 began operations in 2002
Train 3 began operations in 2003
Train 4 began operations in December 2005

* MMBTU – one million British Thermal Units (measurement of energy consumption)

 

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